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Contract trading essentially boils down to two paths: long or short. Even if you pick randomly with your eyes closed, the long-term win rate can approach 50%—this is an objective fact determined by mathematics.
Where is the real breakthrough? Learning. Spend half a year thoroughly studying trading books and building your own trading system. You don't need to pursue a high win rate; just win 1% more than guessing blindly, reaching 51% is enough. More importantly, manage your profits and losses well—set a stop-loss and take-profit ratio exceeding 1:1.5, meaning cut losses at 1 unit lost, and take profits at 1.5 units gained. This way, even with a win rate of only 40%, you won't lose money; a 50% win rate can lead to stable profits.
Here's a practical example: short-term trading on 5-minute charts, 5 trades per day, completing 100 trades in 20 days. Based on a 1:1.5 profit-loss ratio and 50% win rate, you can achieve a 50% increase in 20 days. Starting with a capital of 1,000 USD, if you stick to this pace, you'll break 1 million in about 240 days. Even with a profit-loss ratio of only 1:1, maintaining a 51% win rate can make you profitable in three years.
Risk management is also crucial. With a 1:1.5 profit-loss ratio and 50% win rate, the probability of a margin call when using 10x leverage and full position is only 0.8%. A 1% increase in win rate through learning can completely avoid this risk, provided you strictly follow the take-profit and stop-loss rules without softening.
This logical approach has been verified through live trading. If you're looking for shortcuts, don't come. But if you want to master the fundamentals and earn steady money with a guaranteed winning method, let's do it together.