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Long (Long Position) Entry Strategy
- Short-term trial position: $86,000-$86,500, this is a strong intraday support. If volume increases and stabilizes, consider a light position entry. Stop loss at $85,500 (key support below), target $87,800-$88,800 (4-hour EMA30 and upper boundary of the range).
- Mid-term adding positions: $85,000-$85,500, resonant support at the 100-week EMA and previous oscillation lower boundary. Build positions in batches, stop loss at $84,500, target $88,000-$89,500, and look for $90,000 as an integer resistance level upon breakout.
- Core logic: RSI approaching oversold, weakening downward momentum, building positions in batches at low levels to reduce costs, with strict stop loss to prevent breakdown.
Short (Short Position) Entry Strategy
- Short-term trial position: $88,500-$89,500, rebound to the 4-hour resistance level. Encountering resistance, consider a light short position. Stop loss at $90,000 (integer resistance), target $87,000-$87,500 (previous support).
- Mid-term adding positions: $90,000-$90,500, strong resistance zone. If volume increases and price stagnates, add to short positions. Stop loss at $91,000, target $86,000-$86,500, and look for a break below to $85,000.
- Core logic: Daily moving averages are in a bearish arrangement, rebound momentum is weak, consider batch short positions at high levels, using integer resistance and moving averages as stop loss points.
Key Reminders
- Position control: Spot holdings should not exceed 5%-10% of total assets; leverage on futures contracts ≤ 5x; risk per trade ≤ 2% of total funds.
- Risk management first: Strictly execute stop losses, avoid chasing highs or panic selling; monitor ETF fund flows, US stock market, and macro policies to prevent black swan events.
- Range-bound market principle: Both longs and shorts mainly "buy the dip and sell the rally," within the range of $86,000-$88,800. High sell and low buy within the range; upon breakout, add positions in the direction of the breakout.