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LIT just launched, but the market's outlook on its future potential is changing.
Currently, $LIT 's FDV has already surged to $2.41 billion. Interestingly, the odds of it breaking the $2 billion valuation within a day, which a week ago stood at 85.5%, have dropped to 76.3%—indicating a clear loosening of buyer confidence.
What about more extreme targets? The probabilities of reaching $4 billion, $6 billion, or even over $8 billion have all significantly decreased. Previously, 23% of people believed it could surpass $4 billion, but now only 7% are still "taking a gamble."
It seems investors are gradually shifting from initial enthusiasm to rationality. The hype on the first day of launch was intense, but it couldn't prevent the market from re-evaluating the growth potential. These changes in prediction market data actually reflect the real-time mindset shift of retail investors—from "I'm optimistic" to "I'll think about it again."