2025-12-30 07:23:46

December 30, 2025 Bitcoin Technical Analysis

Let's just review yesterday's market; moving forward from here.

The characteristic of this round of market movement is one word—repetition. As long as the main force's phased bottoming process isn't over, various unexpected shocks will continue to emerge. What's the trick? It's nothing more than constantly shaking out chips. Even if the price drops to around 80,000, it might just be a shakeout. The more imagination you have, the more aggressive the main force's tactics will be. Therefore, the best strategies for participants are twofold: either observe more and act less, or buy and hold without moving.

How to judge the current situation? Will there be a sudden rebound and rally? My inclination is to continue with downward oscillation.

The reason is straightforward. Although there have been rebounds during the previous decline, their strength has been insufficient. The rebounds haven't given a chance to breathe, and the drop has been so large. This pattern is clearly a trap to induce buying. The ruthless tactics have caused both chasing highs and trapped positions to start exiting. The common psychological thought is: "This is boring, I won't participate in this game anymore."

Key resistance zone here—【87800-88100】. There are two possibilities: first, the price might drop directly without even touching this zone; second, if a rebound occurs today and reaches this zone, wait for a clear bearish signal before lightly attempting to short. It's worth noting that if the price breaks through 88100, don't rush to turn bullish. At this point, it’s better to stay cautious and prevent a new round of trap-induced buying.

Where are the long opportunities? Only after the price effectively stabilizes above 88100.

The opposite logic: if it truly breaks below 86600, then shorting on rallies becomes the main approach.

Those with ideas, discuss in the comments.

BTC0.3%

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ProbablyNothing

· 3h ago

As long as this key level at 88,100 isn't broken, I will continue to be bearish. The main force is repeatedly dumping here, it's so annoying.

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RektRecorder

· 3h ago

The trap of诱多 is really clever; I keep stepping on mines every time. Looks like I need to change my strategy.

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MetaMisery

· 3h ago

Still manipulating the market again, the main force has played out this routine. I really didn't expect the lure around 80,000, that's intense. If 88,100 can't be broken, then continue to push down; this wave of market movement will be like this. Rather than guessing what the main force is thinking, it's better to lie flat and hold, it's exhausting. Until the bearish signals are clear, I won't believe anyone; better to miss out than get trapped. Once 86,600 is broken, that's the real test; we'll see then.

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NftRegretMachine

· 3h ago

The trap of诱多 is really ruthless, why are there still people jumping in? This wave indeed looks uncomfortable, don't get excited if 88100 doesn't hold. 80,000 could be just a shakeout, the main force's tactics are top-notch. Bullish or bearish, it's the same old routine over and over. Wait for confirmation signals at 87800-88100 before speaking. If it breaks below 86600, it's straight into a bearish mindset, no need to overthink. The lack of rebound strength is just诱多, no mistake in this judgment. I'm done with this game, it's too exhausting. Only when 88100 holds can we talk about going long, for now just watch and wait. The main force's tactics are even more aggressive than expected, anyone chasing high will be unlucky.

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MetaDreamer

· 3h ago

It's the same set of tricks to lure more buyers again, the main force's tactics are indeed brilliant. The main force's recent shakeout is too fierce; those caught in the trap need to endure slowly. Even after breaking through 88100, I don't dare to rush into a bullish view, so sneaky. Instead of chasing this volatile market, it's better to wait for clearer signals. Once 86600 breaks down, the strategy of shorting on rallies will be set. Around 80000 might just be a shakeout point; anyway, I'm in idle waiting mode. This rebound isn't strong enough; it's obvious it's a trick to lure more buyers. Pay close attention to those key numbers in the resistance zone; if the trend is wrong, withdraw immediately. Trade less and observe more—that's the way to survive in this kind of market.

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