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Recently, U.S. President Trump publicly stated in Florida that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell "should resign," and revealed that he already has a candidate in mind for the next chair. Powell, on the other hand, did not back down, stating he would serve until the end of his term. Behind this dispute lies a fundamental disagreement over the direction of the Federal Reserve's policy.
Some time ago, the Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point rate cut, bringing the federal funds target range down to 4.00% to 4.25%. This move was somewhat modest—Trump had hoped for a 3 percentage point cut, but only got a quarter of that, which certainly left him dissatisfied.
Looking back at history, the conflict between Trump and Powell has long been brewing. In 2018, Powell led the Fed in raising interest rates, while Trump wanted to stimulate economic growth through rate cuts, so their policy goals were fundamentally misaligned. Since then, Trump has frequently criticized Powell in public and on social media, and in early July, he even directly called for Powell to "resign immediately."
Interestingly, in mid-July, U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen revealed that the "selection process for the next Federal Reserve Chair has officially begun." Rumors circulated that Trump had even drafted a dismissal letter, but Trump later denied this.
From a legal perspective, the practical limitations of this drama are clear. Under U.S. law, the Federal Reserve Chair enjoys tenure protection, and the President does not have the direct authority to dismiss them. Powell is well aware of this, which is why he confidently states he will serve until the end of his term. No matter how anxious Trump is, he must accept this legal reality.
From the perspective of the crypto market, these policy battles are highly significant. Interest rate policies directly influence liquidity expectations and asset valuation logic. The smaller-than-expected rate cut indicates that the Fed remains cautious about inflation, which will impact the re-pricing of risk assets. For traders, the key is to closely monitor the Fed's subsequent policy signals rather than obsess over who will ultimately become the next chair.