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A frontline observation note from a seasoned crypto veteran. From entering the circle to now, spanning the entire cycle—survived policy shocks, stepped into air coin traps, and seen accounts slashed in half. The lessons learned over these 10 years can be summarized in one sentence: surviving is far more important than chasing quick profits.
Many people focus only on technical indicators when they first enter the space. I was the same. Initially, I only watched low-priced coins, which led me to fall for air projects, resulting in a 60% loss of principal. It was only later that I realized—crypto is a three-way game: human greed, policy changes, and manipulator tactics, with these three forces taking turns to strike. Those who survive more than 3 years must master three skills.
The first is information sensitivity. Before the regulatory policies in 2021 took effect, there were already whispers in industry groups. I sold 80% of my holdings early, avoiding the subsequent crash. Now, daily signals like Federal Reserve decisions and industry regulatory trends are not just reference points—they are real lifesaving signals.
The second is mental resilience against human nature. When ETH surged to $1800, everyone around me advised buying property, but I kept a close eye on MACD divergence signals. I only sold in batches after the death cross appeared. Looking back, that decision yielded enormous benefits over time.
On the technical level, MACD crossings, divergence at peaks, shrinking volume—these are not empty concepts. When combined with the Federal Reserve policy cycle and crypto price trends, the correlation is astonishing. Four top-out signals and 17 MACD rules can help avoid losses of over ,000.
The most crucial point: no one can consistently beat the market. But those who manage risk, stay sensitive, and adhere to principles can survive longer and earn more steadily.