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The recent trend has indeed been very quiet these days. Liquidity is noticeably tight, and major institutions and hedge funds in Europe and America haven't returned yet. The market lacks strong support, and any small movement by retail investors can cause significant fluctuations. Bitcoin's trading volume has shrunk by more than 30% compared to usual, and the daily net outflow from spot ETFs is $175 million. Ethereum has also moved out by $13.3 million. The cautious attitude of institutions remains the main tone.
Interestingly, capital flows are showing a clear divergence. On one side, institutions are withdrawing, while on the other side, MicroStrategy is still slowly accumulating Bitcoin. Buy orders around 87,000 are gradually stacking up, and the buying power at lower levels is forming support. This at least indicates that long-term players are not pessimistic.
However, the problem is that traditional finance is currently performing strongly—US stocks and precious metals are rising, while Bitcoin has fallen 6.25% this year. During such times, funds naturally shift to traditional sectors. Plus, the optimistic expectations regarding regulation are cooling down, and the DeFi wind is blowing more tense, suppressing the market’s enthusiasm for bullishness.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin's daily chart is stuck at 90,000, and the bearish sentiment hasn't dissipated. Recent support levels are around 87,000, with 86,000 as a further barrier below. On the upside, 88,800 to 90,000 is an important resistance zone. Ethereum is being pressed down by a downward trend, oscillating repeatedly between 2,900 and 2,960. The pressure above 3,000 is significant, with 2,800 to 2,850 serving as a hard support.
As the holiday approaches, trading volume is expected to become even less active. Instead of obsessing over short-term directions, it’s better to focus on observing key volatility zones and wait for clear breakout signals before making moves.