#数字资产市场动态 ETH 1-hour chart has formed, and this structure is finally clear!



**Technical outlook is straightforward**

After rebounding from the 2908 bottom, the price directly broke through the upper band of the Bollinger Bands (2978.55) and is now firmly above 2982. The Bollinger Bands are expanding, volatility and upward potential are opening up—this is a classic strong breakout.

EMA(7) has crossed above MA(30), forming a golden cross, and the short-term moving averages are showing signs of a bullish arrangement. The 2960-2965 zone has become a solid support, unlikely to be broken easily.

The most critical indicator is MACD. DIF continues to rise above the zero line, DEA is about to cross zero, and the histogram shifts from red to green and continues to grow. This is not just a recovery from a bullish divergence; more importantly, bullish momentum is accelerating—this is the signal!

**On-chain data speaks**

Smart money addresses have been net accumulating over the past 24 hours, with a noticeable increase in exchange withdrawals. Futures funding rates have returned to neutral or slightly positive, with no extreme euphoria, laying a foundation for healthy upward movement. Perpetual contract positions are rising, and new funds are entering.

**Fundamental support**

On a macro level, expectations of liquidity shifting are still brewing, and risk asset sentiment is warming up. Activity data in the ETH Layer 2 ecosystem continues to hit new highs, and this fundamental support should not be underestimated.

**This is not a rebound, but a breakout**

The core is the technical structure resonance across multiple timeframes. The price volume breakout above key resistance (previous high and Bollinger upper band), confirmed by MACD bullish momentum, is a high-probability right-side trading signal.

My plan is simple: defend short-term support at 2960-2965; as long as it holds, add to positions. The first upside target is 3020-3050 (previous high and psychological level). Set stop-loss below the key support.

Let the market results speak for the strength. $ETH
ETH1.75%
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NFTPessimistvip
· 55m ago
Bollinger Bands breakouts always get us excited. The last time at 2978, I said the same... Let's wait until it breaks below 2965 before making a move. I feel like this recent emotional rebound in risk assets is a bit fake.
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GasWastervip
· 2h ago
ngl those MACD bars looking sus to me... every time i see that green expansion i remember losing 0.3 eth on a failed tx trying to scalp the bounce lmao. anyway, nice breakdown but did anyone calc the actual gas cost of farming this move? asking for a friend who definitely isn't me with 47 spreadsheets
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MelonFieldvip
· 2h ago
If 3020 doesn't break, I'll keep adding. I feel like this wave really has some potential.
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TommyTeachervip
· 2h ago
The Bollinger Bands are holding up. Don't let go of the key level at 2960. It's time to add to your position.
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FUDwatchervip
· 2h ago
This move is indeed fierce, but can 2960 really hold? It feels like a crucial point.
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