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At the beginning of the year, the S&P 500 index plummeted 10.5% within two days, marking one of the most severe declines in history, yet it has already been largely absorbed by the market. A few days later, the index experienced its strongest single-day performance since the Great Depression (excluding the two trading days in October 2008). What does this extreme volatility reflect? Sharp adjustments in traditional financial markets often signal significant shifts in market sentiment. For investors focused on macroeconomic cycles, such a plunge and lightning-fast rebound are worth deep reflection—what risk factors is the market digesting? How will the next macro environment evolve? These questions are crucial for asset allocation strategies.