People often ask, is there a relatively safe trading rule in the crypto world? To be honest, there is. You don't need any sophisticated technical analysis; as long as you master this methodology, most beginners can avoid common pitfalls.

**Signs of Market Support During a Downtrend**
The best indicators are during a sharp market plunge. If your coins only drop slightly, it often indicates that funds are supporting the price. In such cases, just hold confidently; there’s usually an opportunity later.

**Minimalist Moving Average Strategy**
For short-term trading, focus on the 5-day moving average: hold as long as the price stays above it; sell immediately if it breaks below. For medium-term, switch to the 20-day moving average, with the same logic. The best method isn’t necessarily the most complex; the one you can stick with long-term is the best.

**Be Decisive When the Main Uptrend Begins**
When the price enters a main upward wave with decreasing volume, act decisively; if volume then increases and the price continues higher, keep holding; if volume decreases but the trend line isn’t broken, stay put; if volume surges and breaks the trend line, reduce your position immediately.

**Clear Out if No Progress in 3 Days**
If there’s no significant movement within three days after buying, just sell. Cut losses at 5%; don’t expect a rebound.

**Rebound Often After Oversold Conditions**
If a coin drops more than 50% from its all-time high and falls for 8 consecutive days, the probability of a rebound is high. You can participate with a small position.

**Focus on Leading Coins, Avoid Small Altcoins**
Leading coins rise quickly and are more resilient during declines. Don’t try to pick up cheap coins just because they fell a lot, nor fear they might rise too much. The true profit logic is to buy high and sell higher.

**Don’t Chase Bottoms When Following the Trend**
The idea that buying at the lowest point is best needs to change. Don’t try to bottom-fish in a downtrend; decisively abandon weak coins. Market trend always comes first.

**Profitability Comes from Repetitive Systems**
Occasional profits are not a skill; consistent earning ability counts. After each trade, review and analyze whether it was luck or skill, and continuously refine your trading system.

**It’s Okay to Stay Out When Unsure**
Don’t force trades when you’re uncertain. Holding cash can help you avoid unnecessary losses. Trading isn’t about frequency but about success rate.

**Conclusion**
Why do most people lose money trading crypto? It’s not because their methods are flawed, but because they lack patience and discipline. These seemingly “dumb” methods, once properly executed, are far more stable than blindly chasing rallies.