2025-12-30 22:25:50

Have you heard of stories like this? A friend was impressed by a trader's track record—over 90% win rate, packed with profit records. Excited, they jumped in, only to see their account drop from five figures to three figures in less than half a month. This isn't a joke; such things happen every day in the crypto world.

We must face a reality: too many people treat win rate as the only benchmark for trading skill. But there's a serious overlooked truth—high win rate doesn't necessarily mean stable profits and can actually be the biggest trap.

Those claiming over 90% win rate while trading frequently usually follow just three routines. First, using high leverage to chase tiny profits. Second, taking profits immediately after a small gain. Third, holding onto losing positions without setting stop-losses. The result is: short-term accumulation of impressive win rate numbers, attracting wave after wave of retail traders to follow suit.

Where's the problem? The essence of trading isn't "how many times you win," but "how much you earn when you win and how much you lose when you don't."

A comparison makes this clear. I've seen seasoned traders with stable profits, whose win rates are often around 50% or even lower. But why can they make money long-term? The secret is two words: discipline. Strict stop-loss enforcement and reasonable risk-reward ratios. For example, setting a take profit at 3 points and a stop-loss at 1 point. Even with only 50% winning trades, they still make money over the long run.

And that high win rate approach is like betting on 100 small wins to gamble on 1 big loss. Probabilistically, it will eventually blow up. This isn't a technical issue; it's a math problem.

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LightningLady

· 8h ago

Really, I've seen too many such rookies, following the trend with a 90% win rate and then overnight returning to zero. --- That high win rate strategy has been played out long ago; yet every time, accounts blow up. Who's to blame? --- A 50% win rate can actually make money? I need to think about this logic again, but holding on without stop-loss is indeed suicide. --- Leverage with tiny profits + no stop-loss is indeed a perfect liquidation formula, mathematically inevitable. --- The problem is most people can't distinguish between win rate and profitability. Seeing 90% and throwing money directly, no wonder they suffer heavy losses. --- Discipline sounds simple in two words, but how many can truly stick to it? Most are still greedy and lucky. --- Those who boast about their high win rate, nine out of ten eventually reveal their true colors. I've never seen one who can truly maintain stability.

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SellLowExpert

· 8h ago

Damn, this is the painful lesson I learned... Really, I was out of my mind when I followed the hype during those high win rate times. A 50% win rate is actually more stable, this logic is indeed perfect. Honestly, discipline > skills, I should have understood this principle long ago. It also reminds me of that margin call, my goodness... There's nothing wrong with what you said, I'm just worried people will still fall for it.

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MemeCurator

· 8h ago

Another high-win-rate scam, this套路真tm烂大街了。 90% win rate? I think 99% is just leverage with tiny profits and holding onto losses. Stop-loss discipline is the real way, but unfortunately 99% of people simply can't do it. Win rate is虚的, risk-reward ratio才是真金白银。 Hey wait, do those copy traders really not think about this? 50k directly shrinks to 30k, how many more lessons like this need to be repeated before people wake up? High win rate = high leverage + tiny profits + holding onto losses, I've seen this equation crash too many times. Math won't lie, the probability will always blow up eventually. Trading with high win rate is just betting that it won't happen so soon. So even if the win rate is only 50%, being able to consistently execute stop-losses is actually the way to make money. This statement is spot on.

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