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Federal Reserve Minutes Interpretation: Policy Dilemma Amid Dual Pressures of Inflation and Employment
【CryptoWorld】The latest Federal Reserve meeting minutes reveal some interesting information. Participants generally believe that upside risks to inflation still exist, while downside pressures on employment are also increasing—this situation has been gradually emerging since mid-2025.
Regarding policy direction, most participants lean towards adopting a more neutral stance to prevent deterioration in the labor market. However, there is an interesting disagreement: many believe that the long-term inflationary impact of tariffs has been overestimated, and the likelihood of persistent inflation pressures is actually decreasing.
On the other hand, some participants have issued warnings, feeling that the fundamental factors driving inflation upward still exist and should not be taken lightly. Especially in the context of high inflation data, a hasty rate cut could be interpreted by the market as the Fed loosening its commitment to the 2% inflation target, which carries significant risk.
In simple terms, the Federal Reserve is currently facing a dilemma: overly tight policies could harm employment, while overly loose policies might lead to a rebound in inflation. The impact of this macroeconomic uncertainty on crypto asset allocation is something you can assess for yourselves.