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As gold breaks its all-time high and the S&P 500 surges, Bitcoin instead seems to be pressed against the $87,000 ceiling, barely moving. This is not just a matter of tight funds during the holiday season; behind it lies a reallocation of market power.
The Christmas rally is here, with US stocks rising happily and gold soaring to a historic high of $4,500 per ounce. But what about Bitcoin? It’s like a neglected character, stuck tightly in the narrow range between $85,000 and $90,000, almost without any vitality.
**The Truth About Year-End Stagnation**
This asset, known for its volatility, has surprisingly fallen into stagnation by the end of 2025. Its current price hovers around $87,000, down more than 7% since the beginning of the year. To put it in perspective, since dropping from the $126,000 peak in October, it has fallen nearly 30%, marking the worst quarter since mid-2022.
What’s more painful is that the institutional funds driving the market—US spot Bitcoin ETFs—have turned to net sellers in the fourth quarter. They were once the main force pushing Bitcoin higher, but now they have become a cash drain. Meanwhile, the defensive funds piling into gold have shown no signs of shifting any funds into Bitcoin. Signs of market divergence are becoming increasingly evident.
**The Other Side of the Power Play**
On the surface, this looks like seasonal liquidity tightening, but a closer look reveals a power struggle between traditional finance and the crypto market. Gold, as the ultimate safe-haven asset, is gaining attention, while Bitcoin’s narrative as an emerging, disruptive asset seems to be fading. The shift in institutional attitudes, the withdrawal of liquidity, and cooling market sentiment—these factors together have pushed Bitcoin into a difficult predicament.