2025-12-30 23:25:08

Many people ask why we persist in shorting altcoins. Frankly, their ultimate fate is zero, and that is the confidence behind shorting.

But having confidence is not enough. There is a phenomenon in the market called "Bear Longer than Bull"—bear market cycles are generally longer than bull markets, which gives us ample operational space and market foundation. Once the trend is established, the window of opportunity for shorting is actually wider than you might think.

The core risk control principle can be summarized in one sentence: When a flood comes, you must stand higher than others, always staying in places where the water cannot reach. This is not just motivational talk; it is a survival philosophy.

In practical operations, four key points: focus only on altcoins, keep positions and leverage low, rely on high frequency and high win rate to make a living, and the most crucial—strict stop-loss, never hold onto losing positions. It sounds simple, but execution requires iron discipline. Most people fail at the last point.

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BearMarketMonk

· 7h ago

You're right, but that last point really is Achilles' heel. I've seen too many people die on "hang in there a bit longer." --- I agree with the logic of resetting to zero, but making money and staying alive are two different things. Most retail investors can't tell the difference. --- High frequency and high win rate sound great, but in reality, most people are reluctant to even set stop-losses. --- It's true that a prolonged bear market leads to a short bull market, but the few who can truly reap the benefits of this wave of red envelopes are few and far between. --- Standing in a place where water can't reach—this sounds Zen, but it's really just about not being greedy and not going against the trend. --- Lowering position size and leverage—most likely, the market will teach this lesson before you realize it. --- The zeroing of altcoins isn't a matter of probability; it's an inevitable issue. That's where the confidence to short lies. --- The four words "iron discipline"—probably less than 1% of people can truly achieve this.

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LiquidationKing

· 7h ago

Strict stop-loss is truly a matter of life and death; most people fail because they can't bear to cut their positions. --- I agree with the logic of a long bull and a short bear, but very few can wait for that window. --- Lowering position size and leverage sounds conservative, but in reality, it's using compound interest to eat up time advantage; those who understand, understand. --- While others are chasing gains at high levels, we've already shrunk into the corner—that's the art of survival. --- Shorting clones is like guarding a bunch of bombs that will explode sooner or later; the key is to stand further away. --- It's easy to say, but the hardest part during execution is the psychological barrier—seeing your account drop makes you want to reverse. --- Never hold onto a losing position—that's something only those who have made money can do. Beginners should just listen. --- The bear market is so long, there's no rush to go all-in; this trade is stable.

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Layer2Arbitrageur

· 7h ago

ngl, the stop loss discipline thing is where 99% of degens actually fail. everyone's running the math on delta neutral positions until they're down 40% and suddenly emotion takes over lmao. that's the whole game right there.

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