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Can central bank liquidity operations predict Bitcoin trends?
Since 2025, central bank liquidity injections have once again become a barometer for Bitcoin prices. Historical data shows that periods of increased liquidity supply—especially when funds are injected through operations like reverse repurchase agreements—often serve as early indicators of Bitcoin's price movements.
The underlying logic is actually simple: ample liquidity means more money in the market, which increases the attractiveness of risk assets. As a representative of risk assets, Bitcoin often experiences upward trends during these windows. Conversely, when liquidity tightens, price pressures become evident.
This correlation was once again validated in 2025. Monitoring central bank liquidity trends may help you better understand Bitcoin's short-term price rhythm—of course, this is just one of many influencing factors, and it should be considered alongside other market signals for comprehensive analysis.