After more than half a month of sideways consolidation, the crypto market finally迎来了重大利好 for the New Year. Once the Federal Reserve meeting minutes on December 31st were released, the market immediately sensed two important signals — the broad pattern of global liquidity easing has been basically set, and the medium-term upward trend of cryptocurrencies now has policy backing.



**The direction of rate cuts is already determined, and disagreements do not change the outlook**

The two core messages in these minutes are particularly crucial. First, the FOMC has finalized the direction of rate cuts at the December meeting. Although officials have differing views on economic risks, the overall trend of easing is no longer in doubt. Second, most officials indicated that as long as inflation declines as expected, continuing to cut rates is a reasonable choice.

This is not just a verbal commitment but a real move that lays the groundwork for reconfiguring global capital flows. For high-risk assets like BTC and ETH, this is the most solid policy support during the year-end period.

**The US dollar's attractiveness falls behind, where is the money flowing**

From the perspective of capital flow logic, as expectations of Fed rate cuts heat up, the appeal of dollar assets' yields diminishes. When low-risk dollar allocations become less valuable, capital seeking higher returns will naturally shift toward the high-risk, high-reward crypto space.

It must be acknowledged that in the previous rally of BTC and ETH, the market had already partially priced in the rate cut expectations. But the true value of these minutes lies in — they reinforce the transmission pathway of "inflation falling → central bank cutting rates" into a fact, turning expectations into certainty. With this certainty in place, the foundation for a bullish crypto market becomes more solid, and the imagination space for medium-term opportunities opens up.
BTC1.22%
ETH1.01%
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 4
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
0/400
SandwichVictimvip
· 5h ago
Once again, they say that interest rate cuts are good news. I scoff at that; wasn't it the same thing said in the past two months?
View OriginalReply0
HodlKumamonvip
· 5h ago
Data speaks: the certainty of rate cuts has skyrocketed from 73% to 95%. The asset allocation model's result indicates that funds should flow into high-risk assets(ノ◕ヮ◕)ノ --- Bear just calculated that as the real yield of the US dollar decreases, BTC's Sharpe ratio has increased by 0.8 this month, and the hard indicator is right here. --- [Serious face] But to be honest, most of the previous rally has already priced in expectations. The current opportunity actually lies in the certainty premium, not new gains. --- The logic of capital flow is sound; I'm just worried it might be another old routine of "policy easing → market pricing → panic selling by bagholders"... --- Downward inflation → rate cuts → liquidity easing. The probability calculated for this transmission chain is indeed stable. Hold tight and wait for the wind to come. --- Wait a minute, the problem is that the Federal Reserve says rate cuts, but what about the European Central Bank? Japan? Is global liquidity really moving in sync, or is only the US dollar harvesting the gains?
View OriginalReply0
DAOTruantvip
· 5h ago
Finally, no more sideways movement. The interest rate cut is a bullish signal, and this time the minutes are truly encouraging.
View OriginalReply0
BlockchainWorkervip
· 5h ago
The certainty of interest rate cuts is here; now it's just a matter of watching how funds move. Whether they can truly flow into the crypto space remains a question.
View OriginalReply0
Trade Crypto Anywhere Anytime
qrCode
Scan to download Gate App
Community
English
  • 简体中文
  • English
  • Tiếng Việt
  • 繁體中文
  • Español
  • Русский
  • Français (Afrique)
  • Português (Portugal)
  • Bahasa Indonesia
  • 日本語
  • بالعربية
  • Українська
  • Português (Brasil)