When it comes to the OTC market, the biggest headache for regulators is the lack of transparency. Back then, when Soros shorted the Thai baht, the large positions he and investment banks traded privately over the counter were completely invisible to the Bank of Thailand. They only saw their opponents as some retail investors, but little did they know, it was actually a whole carrier fleet.



Has this historical pain point been solvable in the Web3 era? Recently, an interesting idea has emerged—using privacy-preserving computation protocols like APRO to reconstruct the financial regulatory system.

What is the core concept? Suppose the global derivatives market operates on a hybrid network of DeFi and CeFi. Each OTC trading desk must deploy dedicated privacy nodes, such as APRO’s zk-Reporter. The cleverness of this setup is that it can fully hide client identities (protecting Soros’s privacy) while still reporting total exposure data. In other words, regulators won’t know who is shorting, but they can see the total number of short positions.

With this infrastructure, the system can automatically generate a global heatmap—such as a "Thai Baht Shorting Heatmap." Data is aggregated in real-time, and if the short position ratio for a certain currency exceeds 30% of the total supply, an alert is triggered. During the 1997 crisis, it was precisely because short positions accumulated to this dangerous level that the central bank had a window to counterattack.

Later, the Bank of Thailand’s approach was quite classic—they didn’t foolishly deplete foreign exchange reserves to absorb the spot market, but instead launched a "short squeeze." They suddenly raised the overnight borrowing rate of offshore Thai baht to 1000% (a tactic also used during Hong Kong’s 1998 defense). This move instantly skyrocketed the financing costs for all short sellers, forcing them to close their positions.

From today’s perspective, if such a transparent yet privacy-respecting monitoring system existed, the entire story might have been different. Central banks could have detected extreme risks early and had ample time to prepare defensive measures. Moreover, this mechanism wouldn’t require sacrificing any personal privacy—your counterparty information remains confidential, but systemic risk signals are fully visible.

Of course, this is just a technical concept. To truly realize it would require deep collaboration among global regulators, exchanges, and DeFi protocols. But at least, based on the lessons of 1997, having something is better than nothing.
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SchrodingerPrivateKeyvip
· 4h ago
This idea sounds really promising... but do you really think global regulators can sit together and discuss DeFi cooperation? Haha
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VitalikFanAccountvip
· 4h ago
This idea is indeed brilliant; the balance between privacy and transparency is handled very cleverly.
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ContractFreelancervip
· 4h ago
It sounds ideal, but how could global regulators really cooperate? Central banks around the world all want to keep their cards close to their chest.
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SelfSovereignStevevip
· 4h ago
Hmm, APRO's zk monitoring system sounds pretty good, but can it really facilitate global collaboration? I'm skeptical. Will the central banks obediently use this system? It’s basically revealing their cards. But the idea of privacy + transparency is indeed interesting; it's much better than the current black-box operations. If we could have had early warnings for the 1997 Thai Baht crisis, the outcome might have been different... but who will enforce it? This direction is promising, but we might have to wait a bit longer; there are still too many vested interests involved.
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StablecoinAnxietyvip
· 4h ago
A 1000% interest rate is an incredible move. This set of tactics in DeFi has been overused for a long time haha. The idea sounds good, but who will build it? Global central bank cooperation? That's overthinking it. The squeeze tactic has been seen many times in the crypto world, but without central bank authority, it's not as ruthless. Privacy regulation is really a difficult problem—on one hand, transparency is needed, and on the other, confidentiality. How to balance? The zk stuff sounds complicated, but whether it works well or not depends on market feedback. Heat maps are possible, but the prerequisite is that all exchanges are willing to integrate, and the probability... Soros' incident, if placed in Web3, would have been liquidated long ago haha.
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fren.ethvip
· 4h ago
This idea sounds great, but once it is implemented and the central bank has access to all the data, retail investors still won't be able to short? In the end, they'll just be harvested like leeks.
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FOMOmonstervip
· 4h ago
This APRO idea is indeed good, but will regulators really follow along? --- Privacy nodes sound great, but the question is who will maintain this system? The central bank? Don't be silly. --- Can the story from 1997 still be used today? Transaction speeds are completely in a different league. --- I think the key still depends on whether exchanges are willing to integrate; otherwise, it's all talk. --- The zk system sounds cool, but will the actual deployment turn out to be a mess? --- The imagination is beautiful, but reality is harsh. Central bank cooperation among countries? Dream on. --- The heatmap alert design is interesting, but where does the 30% threshold come from? --- Ultimately, it's a trust issue. Why should we believe the data is genuine? --- Soros's move can't be played now; liquidity is too poor.
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