2025-12-31 02:25:21

Recently, the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes were released, and the details are worth a close look.

On the surface, everyone is celebrating the coming of rate cuts, but if you carefully review the document, you'll find some interesting signals. The opposition votes reached a 37-year high—which in itself indicates internal disagreement within the Federal Reserve. More painfully, the inflation problem has not been truly resolved; the document explicitly states that inflation is "deep-rooted," and the rate cut is mainly due to concerns that employment data will continue to worsen.

In other words, this is not an active easing cycle, but a forced choice. The economy is weakening, inflation is still there, and the Federal Reserve is caught in a dilemma. As for the subsequent policy path? The document offers no clear commitments; everything is "data-dependent." This means policies could shift at any time, leaving no room for complacency.

What will this uncertainty bring to the crypto market? Liquidity will certainly be more abundant for a while, but how long can this passive liquidity release last? It's hard to say. The market may swing back and forth between optimism and pessimism, high-frequency volatility will become the new normal, and emotional pricing will become more apparent.

So the key question is in front of us: $BTC $DOGE $ZEC Is this wave of market movement an overhyped rebound trap, or a genuine structural opportunity amid chaos? Or should we simply believe that Bitcoin has its own cyclical rhythm, with macro fluctuations remaining calm?

BTC1.21%

DOGE-0.23%

ZEC-1.54%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

9 Likes

Reward
9
6
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

LiquidationAlert

· 2h ago

Opposition votes hit a 37-year high, this guy is not wrong, the Fed has long been divided internally --- Being forced to cut interest rates is basically because the economy is bad, don’t take it as a positive signal --- Inflation is still deeply rooted, this rate cut won’t save the situation at all --- Liquidity being abundant is only a matter of one or two quarters, don’t dream about it --- High-frequency volatility has become the new normal, I am already prepared for a margin call --- $BTC just let it be, it doesn’t have much to do with macro fundamentals --- People are still buying $DOGE, I just don’t understand --- A dilemma is the best opportunity for shorting, as policies can shift at any time --- Uncertainty is the most annoying, better to wait for the data to speak

View OriginalReply0

LiquidityWizard

· 2h ago

ngl, 37-year dissent record is statistically significant tho... means fed's prob just kicking the can. "data dependent" is code for "we have no idea what's next" tbh. so yeah, liquidity pump now but how long? hard to model that without clarity on terminal rate expectations. anyway, crypto's gonna crypto regardless of macro theater, right?

Reply0

SerumSurfer

· 2h ago

37-year high opposition votes? That's just ridiculous. The Fed is tearing itself apart internally but still dares to claim that rate cuts are a victory—laughable. Forced rate cuts are not a good thing; the economy must be on the brink of collapse for this to happen. Probably a sign of an impending liquidity trap. The phrase "high-frequency volatility as the new normal" hits too close to home—it's a signal that the casino mode has been activated. BTC this round is really unpredictable; it feels like dancing on a wire. Inflation is deeply rooted, yet they still cut rates? This script is so poorly written. Should have just waited and seen. I just want to know how long this liquidity can last—three months or six months? $DOGE in this environment is purely an emotional play. Data will speak, but how long will we have to wait? Uncertainty is the scariest; it's not about whether it will rise or fall, but that you have no idea when the trend will turn. Bitcoin's own cycle law? I think it's more like its own knife cycle. Who can tell the difference between a rebound trap and an opportunity? It all depends on luck and mindset. The Fed's move feels like they're digging a hole.

View OriginalReply0

SeasonedInvestor

· 2h ago

A record high of 37 votes against? Haha, what does that say? Even the Federal Reserve is uncertain now. Forced rate cuts + entrenched inflation, this combo is really deadly, essentially giving the crypto world a lifeline but also leaving a ticking time bomb. Liquidity is indeed abundant, but how long can this passive release last... I can't bet on that. Is this market trend a trap or an opportunity? Honestly, I can't see through it, but Bitcoin has its own temper, so why are we in such a hurry? The key is policy shifts at any time; the days of shallow sleep are coming, everyone. The front wave is waiting for clear commitments, while the back wave has already gone all in—laughable. Swinging back and forth, huh? Then let's keep getting on board repeatedly—after all, it's all a gamble. The Fed, confused as it is, has nurtured many prophets; it's time to burn some incense for them before Thanksgiving. Talking about data speaking for itself is meaningless; who knows which data they are actually looking at? Inflation not solved yet, and they start cutting rates—this move is really a bit of a gambler's style. High-frequency volatility under uncertainty—I like this rhythm; the test of patience is here. $BTC's current position—is it the last step before the climb or the first step down? Let's wait and see.

View OriginalReply0

SchroedingerAirdrop

· 3h ago

37-year high opposition votes? It's the Fed internal strife, rate cuts being forced involuntarily, whether liquidity is reliable or not is really hard to say. Passive easing is just the prelude to a bubble, who believes the data? Policies can change face at any time, and BTC is still pretending to be calm. In a dilemma, who dares to hold heavy positions? High-frequency volatility is the normal state, what logic is left in the emotional market? The deeply rooted inflation phrase really hits home, what does rate cuts solve? Unemployment worsening is the real nuclear bomb. Optimism and pessimism switch back and forth, I just want to ask when the next crash will come. Bitcoin's cycle law is bullshit, with the macro environment like this, how can there be any turbulence? Rebound traps or structural opportunities, to put it simply, it's a gamble on luck. True test only comes when liquidity dries up.

View OriginalReply0

RugResistant

· 3h ago

ngl that 37-year dissent spike is the actual tell here... nobody's buying the narrative cleanly anymore. analyzed the minutes thoroughly and yeah, forced liquidity plays different than organic cycles. policy whiplash incoming fr fr

Reply0