2025-12-31 02:27:28

As the bullish factors are coming together, BTC is instead oscillating repeatedly between $86,000 and $90,000, even dropping over 30% from its peak. How should we interpret this market movement?

Analysis institutions openly state that by 2026, Bitcoin could surge to $150,000, with the key driving force pointing in one direction—the US strategic-level Bitcoin reserve plan. If it materializes, BTC will no longer be just an asset but upgraded to a national strategic resource. At that point, countries will compete to hoard coins, circulation will sharply decrease, and prices will naturally soar. Historical data strongly supports this: over the past 7 years, BTC's average annual increase exceeded 100%, with a rebound of 95% after the 2019 crash. The current macro environment is essentially a replay of that period.

Even more outrageous are the voices on Wall Street. Some investment banks forecast $170,000, while some institutions directly call for $250,000. Market sentiment has indeed been ignited by these predictions.

But here’s the question—if the positive factors are so strong, why is the price still falling? Ultimately, it’s because a reshuffle is underway. Highly leveraged players are being forced to liquidate en masse; old hands are taking profits and converting holdings into cash; technical analysts and cycle watchers are also selling, stacking up to push the price down. These three forces combined are exerting downward pressure, painting a true picture of the market—positive news and pressure coexist.

But this also indicates strong underlying confidence. Spot ETFs are already launched, stablecoin supply is rapidly increasing, and the RWA (Real-World Asset) track is beginning to explode. The entire industry infrastructure is becoming more mature. The current correction is less a danger and more a pre-bull energy buildup—like a deep squat, preparing to jump higher.

Tokens like ETH and ZEC are experiencing similar rhythms. The key is whether they can withstand this time window. What’s your view? Can Bitcoin break through $100,000 this year?

BTC1.2%

ETH0.92%

ZEC-1.99%

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HashBrownies

· 4h ago

Deep squat theories have been heard too many times; this time, whether it's a real squat or a real fall depends on when the margin call wave will stop bleeding. --- Wall Street's numbers are just for fun; the key still depends on how US policies will actually advance. --- In simple terms, it's two factions pulling in opposite directions—one hoarding, the other smashing—retail investors are caught in the middle getting wiped out. --- 150,000, 250,000... now these comments are everywhere, but how many actually dare to go all in? --- Having a solid industry infrastructure is correct, but don't celebrate too early; the technical side isn't looking too good this wave. --- Instead of waiting for $100,000, ask yourself how many points are left in your account. --- Shuffle indeed happens, but watching the high-leverage kids suffer heavy losses is also part of it; this industry has never been gentle. --- Even with spot ETFs supporting, such heavy selling indicates some people still don't believe in this approach. --- Why think so far ahead to 2026? Just get through this month first. --- ETH and BTC are both plunging together; this time, even sector effects seem unable to save the situation.

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FlatlineTrader

· 4h ago

Squat discussions are everywhere, but whenever there's no rebound, it's all about storing energy haha Shaking out the weak hands, easy to say, but the ones being hammered down are real gold and silver 150,000, 170,000, 250,000, these predictions are more like storytelling... Institutions call the shots, retail investors follow, this old trick has been around for ages The most realistic question now is, can you still hold what you have? ETFs are definitely a positive, but they can't change the short-term dumping rhythm Instead of waiting for the cake, it's better to stay alive and see next year

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CompoundPersonality

· 4h ago

Market manipulation, manipulation again, I'm tired of hearing it, but I still haven't seen the bottom Wall Street calls for 250,000, I don't believe you, do you really dare to go all in? The squat analogy is good, but this squat is taking a bit too long... At the 100,000 mark, it feels like we'll be rubbing against it repeatedly for a while If institutions really start accumulating coins, retail investors have long lost their chips, this is the reality It sounds nice, but isn't it just to make us panic and sell? Let's wait and see, anyway we can't run, all the money is here

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StrawberryIce

· 4h ago

Squat discussions have been heard many times, but whether this time is real or not still depends on the data after the Spring Festival. Anyway, I’m not making any moves in the short term. --- 150,000, 250,000, how come these prediction agencies dare to shout one after another? Whether they are heroes or just fools will be known after a test. --- People who get liquidated are really miserable. Leverage is just a trap; lessons should have been learned long ago. --- Whether the national reserves will be implemented or not is still uncertain. Don't be too optimistic or too pessimistic. --- The volume of spot ETFs really can't shake much. Improving infrastructure is a good thing, but it also can't change the short-term dumping rhythm. --- Instead of guessing whether 10,000 can be broken, it’s better to see how much this wave of correction needs to fall before it stops. --- ZEC and these coins follow the rhythm correctly, but to really make money, you still need to learn how to survive in this reshuffle. --- All the good news is just storytelling, but real money is being poured downwards. The gap is truly incredible. --- Endure this time window? Ha, many people can't hold on, and there are plenty who have sold out completely.

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