2025-12-31 02:28:02

The global stock market in 2025 experienced its strongest annual performance since 2017, with Asian markets maintaining an upward trend for the third consecutive year. The MSCI index surged by 21%, driven by a clear catalyst—improving corporate earnings resonating with central bank monetary easing policies. Since the tariff rebound in April, the market has been on a continuous upward trajectory.

However, the current issue is that stock valuations have already reached historic highs. Analyst Amanda Agati bluntly stated: whether the sustained rally in 2026 can continue largely depends on whether the Federal Reserve maintains a "dovish" policy stance. If the attitude shifts to hawkish, this rally could be dampened.

Interestingly, from a trading logic perspective, the stock market boom has not only boosted risk appetite but also changed capital flow patterns. As the recent two-year AI craze gradually moves from conceptual phase to performance verification, investors are beginning to think more rationally about asset allocation. Increasingly, institutional investors are turning their attention to digital assets backed by RWA (Real-World Assets), attempting to hedge the risks associated with traditional stock market overvaluation. In other words, amid concerns of a double decline in stocks and bonds, assets that combine traditional asset attributes with the flexibility of digital assets are gaining more attention.

RWA14.91%

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TrustMeBro

· 4h ago

When the Federal Reserve turns hawkish, we are finished. Right now, this valuation is really虚 --- RWA is indeed attracting funds, much more reliable than pure concept AI targets --- A 21% increase sounds great, but at a historical high, it’s always a bit悬 --- Asia has been rising for three consecutive years. Is this really stable, or is there another玄机? --- Institutions are starting to look at RWA, indicating they are also afraid of the stock market at these high levels --- From central bank easing to tightening, the only thing missing is an interest rate decision纪要 --- Stop right there. Can this rally last until the end of next year? --- More and more people are hedging risks, indicating that market sentiment has already begun to change

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BlockImposter

· 4h ago

Once the Federal Reserve raises interest rates, this wave of market momentum will instantly fall apart. The era of quick money is over; now you need to find something backed by real assets to support. Historical highs look stable, but in reality, a single turning point can cause a sharp crash. A 21% increase sounds impressive, but this valuation really can't hold up. The concept of RWA (Risk-Weighted Assets) gaining popularity isn't surprising; someone always has to think about hedging. It's good if this round of market can last until the end of the year; risk appetite is the most fragile under testing. When the central bank loosens, the market surges; when it tightens, it crashes—this is how the market behaves. AI has moved from storytelling to performance verification; investors are finally becoming more rational. The night before the stock market peaks is always like this; the most aggressive rises are often the most dangerous. If this downturn really happens, it will depend on the Federal Reserve's stance—more accurate than reading K-line charts.

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