2025-12-31 02:28:57

With 2025 coming to an end, BTC is still repeatedly testing the resistance level in the 89,000-89,450 range, and a short-term breakout seems to require more time. From the current trend, a critical point may be reached around mid-January, and this time window is worth paying close attention to.

From a longer cycle perspective, there is an interesting pattern: Bitcoin often shows a rhythm of rising first and then falling. This round of market movement is considered to be the final wave of rally within the cycle and the last distribution phase. According to this logic, after completing the distribution in the second half of 2026, the market may face a new cycle turning point—a potentially severe bear market zone could emerge.

Of course, this is all based on the extrapolation of historical cycle patterns. The market is always full of uncertainties, so the key is to manage risks well and seize opportunities at each important node.

BTC1.21%

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WhaleMistaker

· 2h ago

89000 is stuck again, I'm tired of this routine Mid-January? I bet five bucks it'll still be volatile We've been talking about airdrops for a year, are they really distributing? I don't believe you A bear market in the second half of 2026? Save your money first, buddy The term "historical cycle" is the most虚 (vague), one black swan in the market and it's all over Instead of guessing the turning point, it's better to cut losses properly Talking about patterns every day, but isn't it just gambling?

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MondayYoloFridayCry

· 2h ago

Is it really going to be locked in here after such a long time at 89000? Distributions, distributions, easy to say, but then we’ll be cutting the leeks again. Mid-January? I’m just waiting to see if this time can break through, otherwise I really need to change my approach. Bear market in the second half of 2026? I hear that every year. I’ll wait until I survive this cycle first. Risk management and all that, no matter how loud the slogans, it’s useless. It still depends on market intuition. This rhythm of Bitcoin is really exhausting. The pressure levels keep being confirmed repeatedly. So annoying. Historical patterns? Uh, now they’re all disrupted by AI. Who knows? It won’t go above 89000. I think we need to wait and see if there are any new catalysts. Once the distribution is over, it’s a bear market. Isn’t that just pushing people out? Key nodes are key nodes. When the time comes, we’ll still be clueless.

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RetailTherapist

· 2h ago

89,000 still fluctuating? Come on, it should have broken long ago. Bear market in the second half of 2026? First, make some money with what's in front of you. Distribution? I feel like we're the ones getting cut. Historical patterns are unreliable; risk management is the key. Breaking through 89,450 is hopeless, expecting a miracle in January? Cycle theory is back again; can we trust it this time? Good risk management means don't go all in, understand?

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BlockBargainHunter

· 2h ago

89000 has been stuck for so long, it feels like either a breakout or a collapse, the in-between state is the hardest to endure. The distribution theory is back again, said the same last year, and what was the result? A bear market in the second half of 2026? Let's wait until then to see, haha. Are historical cycle patterns reliable? If they could predict the market, everyone would be rich. If this wave is really the final distribution, the smart money has already run, and we're still here? See the real move in mid-January. Are you betting or not, everyone?

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BoredApeResistance

· 2h ago

It’s been stuck at 89,000 for so long, I’m really a bit annoyed... Let’s see in January. I’ve heard quite a few people talk about the distribution phase, but I don’t know who’s distributing and who’s receiving. Bear market in the second half of 2026? Should I start buying the dip now or run away... The market just doesn’t listen to the concept of historical cycle patterns. Another year, another repeated "key node," I choose to continue HODLing. If it can’t break 89,450, I feel like I’m running out of patience. Waiting for signals in January. Will there really be a sharp drop after the distribution is over? My friends are all increasing leverage... Cycle theory sounds reasonable, but I trust my wallet more.

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HackerWhoCares

· 2h ago

89000 can't be held down, it'll break sooner or later Distributions haven't even finished, and they're already predicting a crash in 2026. I've heard this routine too many times Mid-January? They'll probably delay again by then Bear market in the second half of 2026... Let's make money from this wave first, why worry now Historical cycle patterns? They're better used for paying tuition than for predictions. I'm choosing to go all in blindly Bitcoin keeps confirming this pattern repeatedly, isn't it annoying? The real money-makers should have already taken action. Why are you still waiting for the right moment? Risk management and all that, let's talk about it after the pullback

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