#数字资产动态追踪 On January 7th at 1:00 PM, BTC hovers around 93,600. In the short term, it appears to be a oscillating sideways pattern, but over a longer cycle, the trend remains bullish. The key is whether it can break through the upper barrier at 94,400, or if it fails to hold above the support at 91,200.

**Price Level Analysis**

On the upside, the 94,000 to 94,500 range presents a significant resistance — the last high was at 94,415, with a cluster of dense trading zones ahead. Further up, 95,000 is a psychological barrier where many traders may take profits or close positions. The critical support below is at 93,000 (the midpoint of short-term oscillation), followed by the 91,200 to 91,500 range, which was the low point this morning and the starting point of the previous V-shaped rebound. Deeper supports are at 90,300 and between 89,000 to 90,000.

**Indicator Scan**

On the 1-hour chart, RSI is around 42.5, indicating some weakness, and MACD has crossed bearish, suggesting a short-term bearish bias. Unless it breaks above 93,000, there’s some risk. The 4-hour chart looks slightly better, with RSI at 52.2, in neutral territory, and MACD showing bullish signals but with diminishing momentum. The bullish pattern isn’t broken yet, but confirmation requires volume. The daily chart is relatively strong — RSI at 58.7 leaning bullish, with a clear MACD buy signal, and a long lower shadow indicating buying support at the bottom.

**Trend Pattern**

From the pattern perspective, the market initially surged to 94,415 then dropped back to 91,210, followed by a quick rebound. Currently, it’s digesting the accumulated floating positions at higher levels. This V-shaped rebound confirms that buy orders around 91,200 to 91,500 are indeed present. Volume shows increased selling during declines and decreased during rebounds, suggesting caution in chasing highs short-term. It’s better to wait for a true breakout of key levels before taking action.

**Trading Strategy**

Bullish outlook (conservative approach): Wait for the 1-hour candle to close above 93,300 before entering, with a stop loss below 92,800. First target at 94,000, second at 94,500, and third at 95,000. Bearish outlook (also conservative): Consider short positions if the 1-hour drops below 91,200, with a stop loss above 91,800. First target at 90,300, second at 89,500.

Position management must be strict — do not allocate more than 30% of your capital in a single direction, keep total exposure within 50%, and always adhere to stop-loss rules. Especially avoid chasing highs or panic selling around 93,000, as that level is a short-term pivot point prone to being exploited repeatedly.

**Risks and Future Outlook**

Currently, focus on the volatility of US stocks, the release of US employment data, and ETF capital flows, as these can impact BTC significantly. If it breaks below 90,300, the previous medium-term bullish pattern may weaken. Conversely, holding above 90,300 keeps the bullish momentum intact. Breaking through 94,500 could open new upside space, targeting 95,000 or even 96,000. If it fails to hold 90,300, then watch the strong support zone between 89,000 and 90,000.