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#2026年比特币行情展望 Don't want to delve into complex candlestick theories? Looking for a straightforward trading approach that you can directly apply in the crypto space? Try this "Moving Average Follow Strategy."
Honestly, this method won't allow you to pinpoint the exact bottom. But it uses clear rules to constrain your trades, helping you steadily profit from trends.
**The core principle is straightforward**: operate only in an uptrend, buy incrementally when the price breaks through moving averages, and sell in stages when the moving averages are broken, managing risk through position sizing.
**Step 1: Selecting Coins and Building Positions**
Choosing the right coins matters. Check if the price is above key moving averages (like the 30-day MA), which should be trending upward. Skip coins in a downtrend; avoid them.
Build your position in three parts, not all at once. Divide your intended investment into three portions:
First — when the price volume-breaks above the 5-day MA, buy the first portion.
Continue upward through the 15-day MA, buy the second portion.
Finally, when the price breaks above the 30-day MA, buy the third portion.
This approach allows the market to validate the trend's strength, preventing you from getting caught in false breakouts.
**Step 2: Holding and Exiting**
After buying, the price may pull back. No problem—just ensure it doesn't fall below the MA you used for entry, and hold on.
If it breaks below that MA, exit that portion. For example, if it drops below the 15-day MA, sell the second portion; if it also falls below the 5-day MA, keep the first portion if it still holds.
**Step 3: Selling at Highs Using the Same Logic, But Reversed**
When the price stalls at a high level and starts breaking down through the MAs, reduce your positions gradually:
Break below the 5-day MA, sell the first portion.
Break below the 15-day MA, sell the second portion.
If the 30-day MA can't hold, exit completely—no illusions.
**What's the beauty of this method?**
It lets the trend speak for itself, controlling trial-and-error costs through position sizing. Honestly, it won't make you huge profits instantly. But it forces you to develop disciplined trading habits—following the trend and strictly cutting losses. Many losses come from emotional trading; this approach helps keep that in check.
If you're attentive, you can also optimize this logic across different timeframes and moving average combinations. For example, apply this on daily charts and weekly charts, with both confirming each other for more stability.
Trading is like this—there's no perfect plan. But clear rules and firm execution often lead to longer survival.