Recently, this wave of market movement has indeed made people a bit uneasy. From a macro perspective, Bitcoin is currently in a very awkward stage — the short-term (2-5 days timeframe ) is clearly weakening, with quite large fluctuations, and the technicals are gradually turning bearish. But to say it's completely bearish? Not really, because from a medium-term (1-4 weeks perspective ), the main trend remains bullish, which creates a short-term bearish but medium-term bullish scenario.

Let's talk about the current specific situation. Bitcoin has been repeatedly testing the range between 91,500 and 94,500, with the resistance at 94,500 particularly obvious. From an emotional standpoint, the previous atmosphere of buying the dip immediately after a rebound has disappeared. Retail investors and institutions are becoming more cautious, mostly waiting and watching to confirm the trend before taking action. This signal is quite important — it indicates that incremental funds are not following in.

So how to operate? For short-term traders, rather than frequently entering and exiting, it’s better to try a light position + short-term signal strategy. Wait for clearer technical signals before making a move; this will improve the win rate and reduce the risk of being shaken out by nighttime volatility. For medium-term holders, as long as Bitcoin stays above $88,000, the overall bullish trend remains intact. In this case, maintaining about 50% of your spot position is more comfortable, with the rest kept flexible for genuine buying opportunities at lower levels.

Newbie traders might feel anxious at this point because they can't clearly see whether the market will go up or down next. But honestly, the most important thing right now isn't frequent trading for quick profits, but patiently understanding the market structure. Traders who last longer are often not because they frequently buy the dip and sell the top, but because they can recognize the structure and hold or wait accordingly.

The resistance zone between 94,000 and 95,000 mentioned in the last cycle indeed provided a bearish signal, which was subsequently validated by the price action. What does this tell us? It shows that following established rules for judgment, the market will still give feedback. The short-term bearish outlook remains unchanged. But I want to emphasize — the true value of signals isn’t whether they turn out right or wrong in the end, but whether they are validated or invalidated when the rules were set. Being able to stick to your rules is far more important than blindly chasing accuracy.

There will be some trading signals identified by AI that will be released gradually, but you don’t need to participate in all of them. Find the signals you can understand and grasp; that’s enough. This way, your execution will be more stable and your mindset calmer. The market is always there; there’s no need to rush this wave.