2026-01-07 07:23:08

By the end of December, I was thinking that the market should see a turnaround in mid-January, and it would continue to heat up in February-March. At that time, I mainly looked at the Federal Reserve's liquidity easing policy on 12.12—liquidity transmission usually has a lag, and I didn't expect it to take off beyond expectations now.

Here's the key point: stop obsessing over the four-year cycle; it's outdated. What truly determines the market now is the liquidity cycle, especially when looking at altcoins, as the water level best indicates the situation. The market has only just begun, so don't rush—staying calm is the most important.

Those KOLs in the market tugging between bulls and bears every day can easily lead people astray. Honestly, your own trading logic is the most reliable reassurance. Stick to your rhythm and don't let the noise drown you out.

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fren.eth

· 12h ago

The liquidity cycle is indeed much more reliable than the four-year cycle; altcoins' price levels speak for themselves. Chasing after KOLs' long and short tug-of-war only brings frustration; you still need to trust your own trading logic. It took off beyond expectations; maintaining a calm mindset is the key to being a winner. Don't rush; the market has just begun. Sticking to the rhythm is more important than anything. This wave is definitely driven by liquidity; the rise in altcoins' prices says everything.

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just_another_fish

· 01-07 07:53

The liquidity cycle is indeed much more reliable than the four-year cycle. Looking at the performance of altcoins now, it's clear. --- Why do I find the idea of an unexpected surge so hard to believe? It still feels a bit虚的. --- Really, don't listen to those KOLs spouting nonsense. Your own logic is the most important. --- Stick to your own rhythm. This sentence hit me. I was the one who was led astray before. --- The market has just begun. Why rush? Those who panic have already been cut. --- The water level truly best explains the issue. This perspective is quite good. --- Mindset is the biggest enemy. It's more deadly than any technical analysis. --- The four-year cycle is already outdated. Who still believes in it now? --- A calming pill. I like your expression. Your own trading logic is the calming pill. --- There's too much noise. You really need to learn how to filter it out, or your brain will explode.

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BuyHighSellLow

· 01-07 07:52

The liquidity cycle is definitely more reliable than the four-year cycle. I'm now just watching the water levels of altcoins. Listening to KOLs is fine, but you still need to trust your own logic. A surprise surge is real, but it can easily crush your mentality. Staying calm is key to consistent profits. Don't follow the herd to buy the dip; that's the biggest trap. Well said, too much noise can really cause confusion. The clearer you see the water levels, the more accurately you can buy the dip. The four-year cycle should have been phased out long ago; liquidity is the key. The surge is just beginning, but greed can easily lead to a crash. Your own rhythm is the most important; don't get caught up in the tug-of-war between bulls and bears. The performance of altcoins can be seen at a glance to tell how deep the water levels are.

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MysteryBoxOpener

· 01-07 07:38

The liquidity cycle angle is indeed much more reliable than the four-year cycle. I only recently truly understood it. Listening to KOLs is just for reference; you still need to explore and develop your own logic. Stay calm, don't rush to get on board.

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ChainWanderingPoet

· 01-07 07:25

From the perspective of liquidity cycles, it's indeed more reliable than the four-year cycle. I'm also starting to shift towards this logic. Well said, KOLs create noise every day, but their own market sense is the clearest. The overperformance is real. Now the main point is not to be greedy. Looking at altcoins from the water level is truly a timeless perspective; this observation is very detailed. I've long been annoyed by those guys who engage in long-short tug-of-war, repeatedly cutting leeks every day. Maintaining the right mindset is more important than anything else. We're just getting started. I agree that having a solid trading logic is the reassurance. The lagging phase's events didn't expect to unfold so quickly.

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