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December ADP employment data to be released tonight, institutional expectations overview: Several banks expect an increase of 40,000-80,000 people
【Crypto World】Tonight at 21:15, the US December ADP employment figures will be released, which could have a significant impact on the crypto market. The previous figure showed a decline of 32,000 jobs; whether the data can rebound will be the key.
According to the latest forecasts from major institutions, attitudes are clearly divided. Spartan Securities is relatively conservative, expecting an increase of only 16,000; while Sumitomo Mitsui, Zurich Cantonal Bank, and Deutsche Central Bank each see levels of +34,000, +40,000, and +40,000 respectively.
The optimistic voices are louder: Allied Irish Banks, Scotiabank, and Panson Macro all expect an increase of 45,000, with PNC Group even seeing 48,000. Among them, Deutsche Bank, Goldman Sachs, Bank of Montreal, and TD Securities forecast increases of 50,000, 55,000, 56,000, and 60,000 respectively, showing a positive attitude towards the labor market.
The most optimistic forecasts come from BNP Paribas, Helaba Bank, and Mizuho Bank, which predict 70,000, 75,000, and 80,000 respectively. Once these data are released, they will directly influence expectations for the Federal Reserve’s policy path, thereby affecting the sentiment and direction of the entire crypto asset market.