#2026年比特币价格展望 In the crypto world, after reaching a certain stage, you will inevitably hit a wall—and only then realize the harsh truth:

**It's not that you're not working hard, but that from day one, your efforts have been misguided.**

The most common ailment among beginners is called "The more I research, the more I lose."

Scrolling daily to chase hot topics, digging into KOL opinions, memorizing EMA, RSI, MACD, funding rates... The more complex the system becomes, the more your account shrinks. You think you're leveling up by fighting monsters, but in reality, you're just—**using complexity to justify your lack of discipline**.

Today, all-in on AI narratives; tomorrow, bottom-fishing MEME tokens; the day after, following rumors and "insider information." Changing targets five times a week, switching trading systems three times, claiming "optimizing strategies for perfection," while secretly thinking "I just want to avoid losing on the next trade."

Result? Spreading losses evenly to make them less noticeable, fooling yourself.

---

**It took me years of paying tuition to understand a simple truth:**

Most retail investors don't lose because of "choices," but because of "having too many choices."

Later, I simplified to the extreme, leaving only a straightforward system:

**Single coin + trend following + swing trading + position management**

It sounds boring as hell, but it’s ridiculously reliable.

**How to implement?**

**First: Focus on one coin (choose between Bitcoin or Ethereum)**

Don’t chase hot trends, don’t seek novelty narratives, don’t be an emotional leek. If you lack informational advantage, your only moat is **concentration**. Stick to one coin for three months; your understanding of its rhythm will surpass 99% of traders.

**Second: Follow the trend (buy high in uptrend, short in downtrend)**

Don’t bottom-fish, don’t gamble on tops, don’t hope for reversals. The market is the boss—you are the employee—if there’s work, do it; if not, wait. It’s that simple. Trends don’t require your understanding, **only your obedience**.

**Third: Split your positions (big wins on correct trades, small losses on wrong ones)**

Trial trades = buying tickets to enter
Confirmed signals = double down
Trend pullback = take profit and exit
Wrong trades = stop loss immediately

Remember: **Structure determines returns, not win rate.**

---

**A real case to prove this:**

A newbie fan entered mid-last year with a capital of 6,000 USDT. No insider info, no heavy holdings, no flashy operations—just stuck to three principles: trend following, waiting for the right entry, strict discipline.

In less than a month, the account jumped from 6,000 to 21,000 USDT.

This isn’t a miracle; it’s called **the power of disciplined compound growth**.

---

**Why do most people fail to learn this method?**

Because it’s too boring.

Waiting during flat periods, accepting every failure, giving up the obsession with overnight riches... Our brains naturally resist these. Compared to sticking to one coin and one system, switching targets and ideas feels much more comfortable.

But the comfortable choice often leaves the account empty.