2026-01-19 19:29:04

ONDO Practical Review: Short-term Logic in the RWA Track

By 2026, real-world asset tokenization (RWA) has become a main battleground for institutional deployment. ONDO has demonstrated a quite regular rhythm within the $1.2-$1.5 range. In simple terms, by focusing daily on that 20% profit target, the real opportunity lies in overreacting to market responses after the release of US bond yield data. These assets tend to retrace with incredible precision, making them excellent choices for short-term arbitrage.

How to do it? Split into two parts:

First, entering the market is not random. Keep an eye on the buy-side clustering around $1.25, and when the price drops due to short-term negative news or short-term bottom divergence on the 5-minute chart, decisively step in. That is the most reliable signal.

Second, have discipline when exiting. Don’t be greedy. Once the institutional buyback pushes the price up and the profit reaches 20%, close the position immediately. The growth of RWA assets in 2026 is stable but the pace is extremely fast. There’s no need to participate in subsequent oscillations; those are traps set for retail investors.

Ultimately, trading isn’t about guessing macro trends but about capturing moments of market imbalance. Standardize the 20% profit target into your execution discipline, turning each trade into a purely probabilistic operation—only then can you survive longer in the RWA track.

ONDO-0.56%

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DoomCanister

· 13h ago

Running away at 20% is the premise of being alive. Don't wait until the distribution to regret.

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RugPullSurvivor

· 13h ago

Withdraw at 20%. This discipline is indeed strict, but how many can actually stick to it? Most still succumb to the temptation of being rewarded.

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RiddleMaster

· 13h ago

Does a 20% take profit really work? I feel like I always get stuck at that point and get washed out.

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NftBankruptcyClub

· 13h ago

Running away at 20%, are you really cowardly... But on the other hand, those distributions later are indeed traps set for retail investors, I understand.

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TokenStorm

· 14h ago

A 20% rhythm indeed feels comfortable, but the real arbitrage opportunity lies in the 3-minute imbalance window after the US bond data release. Most people simply can't react in time. The precision of ONDO's retracement... to be honest, it's a bit outrageous. It always seems like a scripted play, are institutions just playing us? [Dog Head] Entering on the 5-minute divergence sounds simple, but in practice, I get so nervous I shake. The biggest risk factor is psychological warfare. Saying that a 20% full liquidation discipline is easy to follow, but can retail investors really do it? I can't. Either greed takes over or I run early—there are no normal people. In the RWA track, these past two years, it has indeed become a new favorite for institutions, but it feels like everyone is fighting over the same storm eye. Someone will get caught sooner or later. Is the 1.25 buy zone still stable? On-chain data shows large investors are frequently entering and exiting recently. I don't really trust this entry point anymore. It's good to call it arbitrage, but honestly, it's just betting on US bond yields not to exceed expectations. The risk level is actually quite high. Has this logic been backtested? It seems like everyone using this trick in 2025 has already blown up. Will history repeat itself? Pure probability-based trading sounds scientific, but the market is 99% emotion. We're all just betting on whose mindset is stronger.

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NftRegretMachine

· 14h ago

Run at 20%—that's the way to live longer. Too many people die because of greed.

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