2026-01-20 04:29:59

The discussion about whether FDV can break $1 billion within one day after the launch of MegaETH remains quite popular in the prediction market. The latest market betting data shows that the probability of hitting this target is 88%—a figure that clearly indicates the market's optimistic outlook.

Looking further, the likelihood of surpassing $2 billion drops to 41%, while the chance of reaching $3 billion is only 14%. This stepwise decline in forecast distribution actually reflects the market's rational assessment of the project's potential—highest interest but also maintaining necessary caution.

It is worth noting that this prediction market has already attracted over $7 million in trading volume. This not only indicates high participation but also indirectly confirms the market's attention to this event. Whether MegaETH can achieve such results on its launch day as expected remains to be seen, and its subsequent performance is worth watching.

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TradFiRefugee

· 15h ago

88% chance sounds pretty uncertain, it feels like another game of hot potato If it really breaks 3 billion, I'll just eat my keyboard 7 million in transaction volume, this level of enthusiasm is indeed impressive, let's wait and see if the first day will crash Another new project is here, no matter how good the story is, it can't withstand hitting its peak right after launch

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DeFiGrayling

· 15h ago

88% probability? How optimistic do you have to be to believe this number, haha, I don't believe it anyway.

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FreeMinter

· 15h ago

88% directly taking off, this hype is truly unmatched Wow, a trading volume of 70 million USD, this prediction market is a bit crazy Breaking 1 billion feels like a sure thing, now just see if it can reach 2 billion 14% aiming for 3 billion... dreams are still worth having haha MegaETH's explosive first day, waiting to witness history tomorrow

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DataChief

· 15h ago

88% chance to break 1 billion, this number is a bit uncertain. I actually have more confidence in those who dare to bet 2 billion🤔

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ForkYouPayMe

· 15h ago

Is an 88% probability really that high? I feel like it's a bit exaggerated. Breaking 1 billion easily, but whether it can be maintained is the real key. 7 million in transaction volume, this level of heat is indeed impressive. Another prediction market gamble—some people make money, others lose. I’m skeptical about MegaETH’s first-day performance. Don’t be too optimistic, brother.

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CountdownToBroke

· 15h ago

88% probability? Honestly, that's a bit vague. The last time I heard such confidence, I even made some money. Wait, a trading volume of 7 million USD with this level of hype? I wonder why it hasn't exploded yet. Another "rational assessment." Let me guess, it won't break 1 billion on the first day, right?

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