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$BTC are finally waking up — and the macro setup explains why.
The Russell 2000 peaked back in Q4 2021.
It stayed quiet while large caps stole the spotlight.
Even when the S&P 500 kept printing new highs from Q1 2024 onward, small caps lagged. Patience was tested. Conviction was questioned.
Then Q4 2025 happened.
Russell 2000 broke into a fresh all-time high.
Now comes the important part — it has started to outperform the S&P 500.
That’s the shift.
Capital always rotates. First into safety. Then into size. Then into risk.
Small caps don’t lead at the start — they explode after structure is built.
Crypto follows the same psychology.
If underperforming small-cap stocks can lag for years and then suddenly lead the market, there’s no reason alts can’t do the same after being ignored, compressed, and written off.
Rotation doesn’t ask for permission.
It just arrives.
The question isn’t if alts move.
It’s when people realize the move already started.