Greeks.live: Super short-term OptionsIV reaches 70%, the IV of put Options is significantly higher

Odaily Planet Daily News, macro researcher Adam from Greeks.live posted an analysis on X platform, the Federal Reserve interest rate decision will be announced in three hours. Currently, according to the futures data, there is a 60% probability of a 50 basis point rate cut, and a 40% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut. All markets are focusing on this. From the CryptocurrencyOptions data, it can be seen that there is also a huge market disparity now. The short-term Options IV is as high as 70%, and the IV of bearish Options is significantly higher. Looking at the distribution of Options transactions, the bearish BTC58000 and bearish ETH2200 transactions are the most intensive. Currently, the Options market is overall bearish on the interest rate meeting. 25 basis points are less than expected, and 50 basis points indicate a deterioration in economic indicators.