#2026年比特币行情展望 $BTC $ETH Recently, I came across a research summary on the crypto market, which compiled predictions from several industry insiders for 2026. It's worth breaking down.



From a price perspective, Bitcoin's target price points to $200,000, and Ethereum is expected to stabilize around $9,000. This is not just random hype but a projection based on institutional capital inflow trends.

Interestingly, there's a new understanding of the cycle—don't just focus on the 4-year halving cycle anymore. What are the characteristics of the next phase? Large institutions are gradually positioning and holding long-term, and this process could extend to 10 years. Retail investors are easily scared by short-term volatility, but true wealth accumulation happens precisely in this "slow bull" phase.

Psychological resilience is crucial. Market corrections will happen; a 30% decline is within the normal range. The key to making money is holding onto quality assets and not being swayed by short-term price fluctuations. Many people give up just before the dawn—such a pity.

More aggressive predictions even suggest that breaking $1 million for BTC within 5 years is not just wishful thinking; it has become one of the consensus narratives in the crypto community. Of course, the specific timeline still has uncertainties.

Now is indeed a good time to position. It's not about going all-in, but about recognizing the trend and allocating assets reasonably. Waiting until the price multiplies several times and then regretting not participating will be too late.

Would love to hear everyone's thoughts 👇
- What do you think about the future 3-5 years of BTC and ETH?
- Besides mainstream coins, which other assets with potential are you paying attention to?
BTC-2.23%
ETH-3.7%
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NFTHoardervip
· 01-07 05:59
I have to question the saying of a slow bull. Will institutions really follow this pace? --- A million BTC sounds great, but who can guarantee that policies won't change in the next 10 years? --- Same old story, only those who dare to hold on are truly skilled. --- Is a 30% decline within the normal range? I lost 50% last year, maybe I'm not normal enough haha. --- Mainstream coins are too competitive; I prefer some Layer 2 infrastructure coins. --- The problem is, can retail investors hold on? Everyone around me is chasing highs and selling lows. --- Feeling that 200,000 BTC is a conservative estimate. --- Not being able to hold is the same as not making money. That's the truth.
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HackerWhoCaresvip
· 01-07 05:56
$200,000? I just want to ask if the dollar will still be worth anything then. --- I've heard this theory many times, but the key is whether we can survive the next crash. --- Slow bull? Extend it to 10 years? Bro, I can't wait that long. --- Truth be told, rather than predicting prices, I'm more concerned about which small coins actually have technical support. --- $1 million sounds good, but I just want to know who sold at $20,000. --- A 30% normal correction, what about 50%? This rhetoric is too deep. --- Those who have already jumped in know it's just a matter of time. If you haven't, no prediction will help. --- It looks like institutions are gradually taking over, retail investors should wake up. --- Everyone talks about long-term views, but the ones who really make money are still that group.
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OfflineNewbievip
· 01-07 05:51
I can't wait for a decade of slow bull markets, I still want to gamble on short-term explosive growth. Same thing was said last year at this time, and look what happened... 200,000 BTC? I bet 500,000, or why bother playing. Honestly, how many people can really hold on? Easy to say. I've heard too many times about institutional layouts, but the key is how retail investors follow. The dream of 1 million BTC, but for now, I just want to survive this year. Instead of slowly accumulating, I want to find a few small coins to multiply by 10; that's what brings happiness. No matter how strong the psychological resilience, it can't withstand the principal being wiped out. That's true, but it's useless. ETH at $9,000 is possible, but I think it will break $10,000. Someone mentioned this theory last year, and they're still talking about it now. Why hasn't it happened yet? Every month has a window for layout; it's really crazy. The worst isn't a 30% drop, but after an 80% drop, you can't add to your position at all.
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zkNoobvip
· 01-07 05:45
The concept of a slow bull market is something I accept, but the biggest enemy for retail investors is really their mindset. --- 20 million BTC still sounds conservative, but the key is whether we can survive this year's plunge. --- If you can't hold on, you really want to cut your losses when it drops 30%, and then there's nothing after that. --- The logic of institutional gradual entry is valid, but how long the retail window remains is hard to say. --- So the question is whether to buy now or wait for a better position—that's the real dilemma. --- I'm a bit confused about the $1 million mark, but let's take it step by step. --- Mindset is really more difficult than choosing coins; this hits hard. --- What about altcoins? This article is all about BTC and ETH, which is a bit boring.
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HypotheticalLiquidatorvip
· 01-07 05:43
This logical flaw is everywhere. The institution has been布局 for 10 years? The risk control threshold is right here. A 30% decline is within the "normal range"—dare to ask when was that perception... Ignoring the risk of chain liquidation? A million dollars in BTC... indeed a consensus narrative, but consensus narratives are most likely to evolve into systemic risk. The key question is what level the leverage borrowing rate is at now. Without addressing this, all talk is pointless. Before "holding high-quality assets," you need to clarify where the liquidation price is set; otherwise, it's easy to deleverage before dawn.
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BlockchainBardvip
· 01-07 05:40
Slow bull markets are the most torturous, but they really can make money. --- $200,000? Come on, I bet $1 million will get there faster. --- Honestly, mental resilience is the biggest barrier; it's harder than anything else. --- 10 years of planning? Retail investors can't wait that long; they've already been shaken out. --- A 30% decline is normal? Then how many times does this wave need to fall for it to be a real test? --- Institutions are accumulating, so we'll just follow their lead and accumulate too; there's no other way. --- It's easy to say hold onto quality assets, but the key is how to determine what qualifies as quality. --- Many people fall before dawn, but those who survive are the winners. --- Instead of predicting prices, think about how long you can hold out. --- Planning now? Or wait for a better entry point.
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