This bull run looks increasingly off! Why does it feel like a replay of the tragedy in 2019?
Everyone calm down and think about it:
Bitcoin is on a wild run, while altcoins are lying flat as if dead. Does this script seem familiar? It was the same in 2019 — Bitcoin danced alone, and altcoins collectively fell silent. As a result, after a policy adjustment, the entire market was halved, leaving everyone questioning life.
However, speaking of which, the macro environment this year is indeed quite different.
The Federal Reserve has begun its rate-cutting cycle, and quantitative tightening (QT) is

Do you still remember the prediction on November 18? At that time, it was said that #美国非农就业数据表现优于预期 could surge to 88000, and $BTC saw 2800. Looking back now—who among you really held on? Or did you get out of positions halfway? In this market, sometimes seeing the right direction is easy, but holding the position is the hardest part.

The market has been a bit interesting lately.
The market is moving sideways, mainstream cryptocurrencies are lukewarm, but trading data in certain corners is wildly fluctuating - RSETH's trading volume surged by 455%, sUSDe followed closely with a 362% increase, and even STRK in the Layer 2 track quietly rose by nearly 200%.
This is not a coincidence. When "regular troops" like ETH and BTC find themselves in a stalemate, funds begin to seek new outlets. Those tokens that usually remain inconspicuous suddenly become hiding places for hot money. In simple terms, it means someone is taking th

#比特币波动性 $BTC $ETH
Yen policy shift, liquidity alert sounded in the crypto market
What is the source of the recent market fluctuations? Just look at the actions of the Bank of Japan to understand. The asset bubble that has built up over the past few years through low-yen carry trades is now facing a moment of reckoning.
The logic is simple: During Japan's monetary easing era, the global cost of capital was ridiculously low, leading to a surge in high-risk assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum; now that Japan is tightening its monetary policy, liquidity is starting to flow back to the domestic m

#美SEC促进加密创新监管体系 I have already established a Light Position for long positions. Looking at the market data, the Rebound momentum is still there, and the 83500 defense line is very stable for the day. At this position, the 83500 support can be considered for a gradual entry to go long on $BTC $ETH, but remember to control your Position.

Recently saw an interesting data comparison - the valuations of those tech giants (Mag 7) are not as exaggerated as everyone thinks.
Currently, the price-to-earnings ratio of these companies is about 36.8 times, which is significantly lower than 47.3 times in 2021. More importantly, compared to the "Four Kings" of the internet bubble in the 1990s (Cisco, Microsoft, Dell, Intel), this is simply a small fry - back then, the price-to-earnings ratio of these four companies soared to 80 times!
To be honest, many people are concerned that tech stocks are overvalued right now, but historical data sho

#美联储恢复降息节奏 One word: rise! This week I only recognize one direction - continue to be optimistic about the upward space. Seeing is believing, the market trend is right there. In the past few days, I've been doing swing trading and grabbing short-term opportunities according to the rhythm, and it's so satisfying to follow the right trend! When the direction is right, making money is just a natural outcome.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC

#美国提高关税 dropped to zero from 500,000, then climbed back up with 5,000U - how did I do it?
During that time, I sat in front of the screen until dawn, with the ashtray piled high. Every time the candlestick moved, my heart would skip a beat. Two words kept flashing in my mind: drop to zero. But in the end, I gritted my teeth and took the remaining 5000U, changing to a completely different strategy.
Winning back isn't based on luck, but on three hardcore strategies:
**First Move: Dance on the Needle Tip**
Focus on extreme market conditions. After the price spikes, if it retraces to the 20-da

Survival rules for small capital traders: How to trade with less than 2000U?
If your account balance is less than 2000U, don't rush to place an order. In the crypto market, the size of your capital directly determines your margin for error - the less money you have, the higher the cost of trial and error, which makes systematic operations even more necessary.
Last year I had a case: an initial capital of 1200U, and I was so nervous that my mouse was shaking when I placed the first order. Three months later, the account balance exceeded 15000U, and by the fifth month it reached 32000U, with

After the recent higher trade volumes surge, ENSO has started to take a breather. The price is now hovering around 0.86, still above MA25 and MA99 (approximately 0.87 and 0.853), but still a bit away from MA7 (around 0.921). This is actually a common pullback action in an upward trend, so don't panic.
If it can regain stability in the range of 0.90 to 0.92 with higher trade volumes, then we can look up to 0.98 and even breaking 1.02 is possible.
If it goes down, keep an eye on the 0.85-0.86 area (around MA99), this is the first line of defense. If it can't hold there, there is stronger

#美国非农就业数据表现优于预期 Yesterday's judgment on the US stock market before the opening was that the market reaction after the US Non-farm Payrolls (NFP) was completely within expectations. $BTC directly surged out of a 3000-point space, and the timing was reasonably well grasped. $ETH and $SOL also followed quite well. In this kind of macro data-driven market, being well-prepared in advance can help seize opportunities.

#比特币波动性 Last night, the global Capital Market suddenly went silent, $BTC plummeted close to the panic threshold. But what really made people break out in a cold sweat is the hidden collapse chain behind this big dump - the financial doubts of a certain tech giant are forcibly tying the AI bubble and the encryption world together.
**What exactly went wrong with that $3 trillion chip empire?**
The AI chip leader with a market value of over 21 trillion RMB has recently been simultaneously pressured by three sharp blades:
First, let's look at the accounts. Accounts receivable accounted for a

Renowned financial journalist Nick Timiraos has recently disclosed: a rare policy divergence is brewing within the Fed.
What is the core of the problem? Even if there is a rate cut at the December meeting as scheduled, Powell will face the most severe internal resistance in nearly eight years. Market rumors suggest that this meeting may see a rare situation of "three dissenting votes" - it should be noted that such division has been extremely rare in the 30-year history of Fed decision-making.
Evercore's analysts have even stated bluntly: the decision-making mechanism of the committee has

Recently, that bullish belt hold of XPL is indeed eye-catching, and many people are starting to ask if they can enter a position.
Don't rush in just yet; FOMO can easily lead to someone taking the bag. I've been tracking Plasma for quite a while, so here are some cold hard facts. Take your time to decide after reading them.
Looking at the K-line over the entire cycle, you will find that the current wave of increase is still far from the historical high of 2021 by a long shot. That was truly crazy, but what happened afterwards, those who have experienced it understand. This rebound from

#美国非农就业数据表现优于预期 Many people always think they are losing because their principal is thin. But after being in the market for a long time, you will understand—
$ZEC Retail investors are facing liquidation; nine times out of ten, it's not about money, it's that their brains are fried.
I've seen too many of these scenarios: holding a few thousand U in hand, yet dreaming day and night of financial freedom.
Someone in the square shouted "Charge! Charge! Charge!", and immediately their eyes turned red as they rushed in; they're afraid of missing out when prices rise and scared of get

#加密货币市场动态 I recently have a thought that feels quite stable, and I'm willing to share it with a few like-minded frens to research together. It's a rare opportunity!
The crypto market is now like a fog; some rely on luck and make blind guesses, while others are good at finding patterns. How can one seize opportunities with altcoins in a volatile market? There are actually many methods, but the key is whether you can find that breakthrough point. If you're interested, we can chat together and look at the market from a different perspective; you might just gain clarity.

This week the market has truly been a roller coaster. On Friday, US stocks finally breathed a sigh of relief, with the Dow and S&P rising around 1%. However, looking at the whole week, it still couldn't hold up—the Dow and S&P dropped 2% on the weekly chart, and the Nasdaq fared worse, falling by 2.7%.
The turning point came from Williams of the New York Fed, the third most important figure in the Fed, who suddenly turned dovish. He stated that inflationary pressures are easing, hinting at a possible rate cut in the short term. The market immediately surged, with the probability of a rate

#美SEC促进加密创新监管体系 Staying alive is more important than anything else. Play with spare money, the kind that you won't feel sorry for losing. Full Position? Don't even think about it. $MKR No matter how tempting these assets are, you must leave yourself a way out.

#美国非农就业数据表现优于预期 At this position, I decided to go long.
After observing for a few days, the 4H level has firmly stood at a key support level—bears continue to exert pressure, but the price has not broken through. There are subtle changes in market funds: the enthusiasm for small-cap altcoins is receding, while mainstream coins have become a safe haven for funds, with Ethereum being the core beneficiary of this inflow.
To be honest, not going long in this market is really going against the trend.
I have seen the tactics of the main players many times – first they wash the plate, then they smas

#美国非农就业数据表现优于预期 On Friday's close, Wall Street and the ETF crowd should be on holiday, right? The weekend trend for BTC is here.
The trading volume data is quite interesting - from Friday to Saturday, the trading volume has already exceeded the level on the day of the waterfall drop on 1011.
This round of rebound starting from 80,000 has now reached above 85 at its highest. Will it go up to test the 9.1 position? If it really goes up, it will just be able to retest to confirm whether it has truly broken below the long-term weekly upward trend line.
But to be honest, the market trend a few